Here’s why the leaked ‘Secret plan’ for a Ukrainian Military offensive doesn’t add up

On Friday, photos appeared of a document allegedly containing details on a planned imminent Ukrainian offensive on territories controlled by Russia, The ‘leak’ coincided with suggestions that the NATO Defender 2023 exercises – planned for the end of this month – could be a cover for an operation to supply and support Ukrainian units. However, upon closer examination, doubts arise concerning the document’s authenticity…

Nightmare for the “Five Eyes”: a new batch of secret US documents on Ukraine, China and the Middle East “leaked” into the Network, A new batch of secret US documents on Ukraine and not only appeared on social networks. According to The New York Times, more than 100 documents were in the public domain.

Senior intelligence officials called the leak a ‘nightmare for the Five Eyes’, referring to the US, UK, Australia, New Zealand and Canada, the so-called Five Eyes countries that make extensive use of intelligence, Ex-Pentagon official Mick Mulroy admitted the intentional nature of the leak, as many of the documents were photographed.

What information does it contain?

There hasn’t been a leak of this nature since Moscow’s military campaign in Ukraine began, over 13 months ago. It is noteworthy that the published plans contain not only a schedule for supplying Ukrainian units with NATO weapons and ammunition, but also information about the structure of the brigades and battalions allegedly preparing for the offensive.

The document, dated March 1, says Kiev’s brigades need 253 tanks, more than 380 infantry fighting vehicles and APCs, 480 vehicles, 147 artillery pieces, and 571 HMMWV armored vehicles to carry out the offensive.

Which information is most suspect?

The probable locations of Russian units, indicated on the combat map in red, appear to have been collected from open sources. Several pro-Kiev resources that track military operations contain almost identical information.

Also, the ratios of killed and wounded for the Ukrainian and Russian Armed Forces which initially appeared in these ‘secret plans’ have since been changed. When first posted, the losses for the Ukrainian side were underestimated at about 16,500 –17,000 people. Then (probably to be more realistic), they increased almost fivefold, up to 65,000 – 75,000. At the same time, the numbers given for Russia’s purported losses of vehicles and equipment coincide with data published by Kiev’s Ministry of Defense.