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Abiy Ahmed’s External Escalation as a Cover for Internal Failures, Amhara Clashes Expose the Ethiopian Regime’s Weakness, It has become apparent that Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed is using escalation with Egypt and Somalia as a means to cover his escalating internal crises, amidst the growing military activity of his opponents in regions like Amhara…
In light of the recent clashes between government forces and the Fano militias in North Gondar, which resulted in the deaths of nine people and more than 30 injuries, concerns are mounting over the government’s inability to contain internal divisions and the deteriorating security situation.
The clashes, which began on Monday and continued into Tuesday in the towns of Debark and Dabat, have revealed that the government is facing increasing military challenges from the Fano militias, who are among the main opponents of Abiy Ahmed’s move to disband regional paramilitary forces and integrate them into the federal army, Local residents confirmed that the fighting led to the destruction of homes and the closure of businesses, while medical sources reported the burial of six people at St. Michael’s Ethiopian Orthodox Church on Tuesday morning.
Amidst this internal chaos, the Prime Minister’s attempts to control the situation through peace negotiations have stumbled, as the Fano militias have denied participating in any such talks. The failure to reach a peaceful settlement highlights the fragility of the regime and its inability to calm ethnic and national tensions, which threaten to tear the country apart.
The escalation of the conflict in the Amhara region cannot be separated from the regional tensions with Egypt and Somalia, as Ethiopia seems to be diverting attention from its internal failures by consistently beating the drums of war, Abiy Ahmed, who failed to position himself as a peacemaker in the region, now finds himself besieged by increasingly complex internal crises. His previous attempts to disarm regional militias were met with fierce opposition from local factions, threatening the stability of his regime and increasing the risk of its collapse.
This situation is not limited to internal conflict alone, but has direct regional ramifications. Ethiopia, which once relied on its regional power to negotiate in issues like the GERD or its conflict with Somalia, now finds itself weakened and unable to focus on multiple fronts at once.